US Trends

5 Facts on US Evangelicalism

Pew Research has marked Billy Graham's death by publishing 5 Facts on US Evangelicalism

  1. About a quarter (25.4%) of U.S. adults identify with evangelical Protestantism
  2. The evangelical Protestant share of the population has dipped slightly in recent years (from 26.3% in 2007 to 25.4% in 2014), but more slowly than the mainline Protestant and Catholic populations.
  3. Three-quarters (76%) of evangelical Protestants in the U.S. are white, but the share of evangelicals who are not white is growing.
  4. On average, evangelical Protestants have somewhat lower levels of educational attainment, compared with the U.S. public as a whole.
  5. Half (49%) of evangelical Protestant adults reside in the South, which is home to 37% of the overall U.S. adult population.

The faith of America — LifeWay reports

According to the latest LifeWay research Americans love God and believe the Bible (sort of) but are confused about the details.

Six in 10 say everyone eventually goes to heaven, but half say only those who believe in Jesus will be saved. And while 7 in 10 say there’s only one true God—Father, Son and Holy Spirit—two-thirds say God accepts worship of all faiths.

Most Americans still identify as Christians. But they seem to be confused about some of the details of their faith.

For example about two-thirds of Americans believe Jesus is God while half say Jesus is a being created by God. 

Evangelical believers say hell is for real. Other Americans aren’t so sure.

Many evangelical believers say everybody goes to heaven. They also believe that only those who trust Jesus as their Savior are saved.

Everyone sins a little, but most people are good by nature

The resurrection really happened. But not everything else in the Bible did

Americans believe in the Trinity. But are fuzzy on the details.

Americans disagree about sex, abortion, homosexuality and gender.

Three-quarters of Americans say people must contribute their own effort for personal salvation.


A new estimate of the U.S. Muslim population


Pew Research reports:

There were about 3.3 million Muslims of all ages living in the United States in 2015. This means that Muslims made up about 1% of the total US population (about 322 million people in 2015), and we estimate that that share will double by 2050.

Certain states, such as New Jersey, have two or three times as many Muslim adults per capita as the national average.

Our projections suggest the US Muslim population will grow faster than the Hindu population and much faster than the Jewish population in the coming decades. Indeed, even before 2040, Muslims are projected to become the second-largest religious group in the U.S., after Christians. By 2050, the American Muslim population is projected to reach 8.1 million people, or 2.1% of the total population.

Just over half of the projected growth of the American Muslim population from 2010 to 2015 is due to immigration. Over the last 20 years, there has been an increase in the number of Muslim immigrants coming to the US The number of Muslim immigrants currently represents about 10% of all legal immigrants arriving in the US, and a significantly smaller percentage of unauthorized immigrants.

The other main cause of Islam’s recent growth is natural increase. American Muslims tend to have more children than Americans of other religious faiths. Muslims also tend to be younger than the general public, so a larger share of Muslims will soon be at the point in their lives when people begin having children.

There has been little net change in the size of the American Muslim population in recent years due to conversion. About one-in-five American Muslim adults were raised in a different faith or none at all. At the same time, a similar number of people who were raised Muslim no longer identify with the faith. About as many Americans become Muslim as leave Islam.

Immigration transforming the US

US immigration is on the rise. By 2065, the US will have 78 million immigrants.

US Immigration 2065

The composition of US immigration is also changing. While Hispanics will continue to make up a significant portion, Asians will become the single largest source by 2055.

US immigration through 2065

Now how many new churches do you need to reach 78 million immigrants? If you’re happy with just one church per 500 people, that’s 156,000 new churches just to keep up.

Read the full report.

The Hispanic future of America

 Screenshot 2015 08 12 09 44 47

One American in six is now Hispanic, up from a small minority two generations ago. By mid-century it will be more than one in four.

Hispanics are transforming the definition of what it means to be a mainstream American. During the roughly 200 years from the presidency of George Washington to that of Ronald Reagan, whites of European descent consistently made up 80-90% of America’s population. By the time of the 2010 census, the proportion of non-Hispanic whites (for simplicity’s sake called whites hereafter) was down to 64%. Some time around 2044 it is projected to fall to less than half.

David Rennie, The Economist

Let’s take a look at past and the forward predictions and see just how much America’s future is Hispanic.

Screenshot 2015 08 12 09 47 27 

Based on effectiveness in reaching Hispanics, this is good news for the Pentecostals and Catholics. It’s bad news for the liberal Protestants and Southern Baptists.

UPDATE: ABC radio reports on Hispanics in America.